An aerial view of a long highway running through arid, rugged desert terrain with canyons and small hills.
A space shuttle launches, creating a bright, circular halo of light around it against a dark sky.
Black background with the logo 'MorMag' in red on the left and 'Asset Management' in white on the right, separated by a vertical orange line.

Research

MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.

Featured Research

Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Geometric Brownian Motion vs Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

Geometric Brownian Motion and the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process represent two fundamentally different approaches to modelling financial dynamics. One captures persistent trend and unbounded movement. The other captures equilibrium behaviour and mean reversion. At MorMag, this distinction forms part of a broader analytical philosophy that views markets as dynamic systems characterised by changing structures and shifting behavioural regimes.

Read More
Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process offers a powerful framework for modelling mean-reverting behaviour in financial markets. By combining deterministic drift toward a mean with stochastic fluctuations, it captures the essential features of many economic and financial variables. At MorMag, this framework forms part of a broader approach to analysing markets, integrating mathematical structure with contextual understanding.

Read More
Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem is a cornerstone of statistical theory and a key foundation for quantitative finance. It explains how aggregation can lead to convergence toward a normal distribution, providing a basis for modelling and inference. At MorMag, the CLT is integrated into a broader framework that recognises both its utility and its limitations.

Read More
Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Delta–Gamma Risk Surface

The Delta–Gamma risk surface provides a structured framework for understanding the non-linear behaviour of derivative positions. By capturing how sensitivity evolves across different levels of the underlying asset, it reveals the geometry of risk embedded within options. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to derivative analysis, integrating mathematical insight with practical understanding.

Read More
Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Robust Portfolio Optimisation

Robust portfolio optimisation provides a framework for constructing portfolios that account for uncertainty and estimation error. By incorporating variability into the optimisation process, it reduces sensitivity to inputs and enhances stability. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to portfolio construction, emphasising resilience, adaptability, and clarity of thought.

Read More
Quant Lab & Research Infrastructure Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quant Lab & Research Infrastructure Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Live OHLCV Theorem

The Live OHLCV Theorem formalises a fundamental distinction in market analysis. Completed OHLCV data represents a fixed record of past activity. Live OHLCV data represents an evolving process whose final state is uncertain until the period closes. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to analysis, in which data is understood not as a static object, but as a dynamic expression of interaction and uncertainty.

Read More
Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Greater Fool Theory

The Greater Fool Theory provides a lens through which to understand periods of speculative pricing in financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which speculative dynamics are recognised, interpreted, and evaluated within the broader context of uncertainty and system behaviour.

Read More
Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Foresight and Prediction Markets

Foresight and prediction markets provide a framework for understanding how markets form expectations about the future. By aggregating information through trading, they transform individual beliefs into collective probabilities. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which prices are interpreted not only as measures of value, but as expressions of belief.

Read More
Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Intertemporal Choice

Intertemporal choice is central to financial markets. It reflects how participants evaluate trade-offs between present and future outcomes, incorporating preferences, uncertainty, and behavioural dynamics. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to decision-making, in which time, uncertainty, and adaptation are considered together.

Read More
Investment Philosophy Thomas Morgan-Magraw Investment Philosophy Thomas Morgan-Magraw

What Are Markets?

Markets are not simply mechanisms for trading assets. They are processes in which participants interact, information is transformed, and prices emerge. At MorMag, this perspective provides a foundation for navigating financial markets with clarity and discipline.

Read More
Financial Theory & Economic Foundations Thomas Morgan-Magraw Financial Theory & Economic Foundations Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Execution as Alpha

Execution is a fundamental component of financial markets. It connects decision-making with realised outcomes, translating theoretical insight into actual performance. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach in which execution is integrated into strategy, analysed as part of the system, and treated as a source of edge.

Read More
Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Order Flow and Alpha

Order flow represents the fundamental process through which prices are formed. It captures the interaction of participants, the expression of information, and the dynamics of liquidity. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to identifying and interpreting sources of alpha.

Read More