Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
Geometric Brownian Motion vs Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process
Geometric Brownian Motion and the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process represent two fundamentally different approaches to modelling financial dynamics. One captures persistent trend and unbounded movement. The other captures equilibrium behaviour and mean reversion. At MorMag, this distinction forms part of a broader analytical philosophy that views markets as dynamic systems characterised by changing structures and shifting behavioural regimes.
The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process
The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process offers a powerful framework for modelling mean-reverting behaviour in financial markets. By combining deterministic drift toward a mean with stochastic fluctuations, it captures the essential features of many economic and financial variables. At MorMag, this framework forms part of a broader approach to analysing markets, integrating mathematical structure with contextual understanding.
The Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem is a cornerstone of statistical theory and a key foundation for quantitative finance. It explains how aggregation can lead to convergence toward a normal distribution, providing a basis for modelling and inference. At MorMag, the CLT is integrated into a broader framework that recognises both its utility and its limitations.
The Delta–Gamma Risk Surface
The Delta–Gamma risk surface provides a structured framework for understanding the non-linear behaviour of derivative positions. By capturing how sensitivity evolves across different levels of the underlying asset, it reveals the geometry of risk embedded within options. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to derivative analysis, integrating mathematical insight with practical understanding.
Robust Portfolio Optimisation
Robust portfolio optimisation provides a framework for constructing portfolios that account for uncertainty and estimation error. By incorporating variability into the optimisation process, it reduces sensitivity to inputs and enhances stability. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to portfolio construction, emphasising resilience, adaptability, and clarity of thought.
Convex Portfolio Optimisation
Convex portfolio optimisation provides a powerful framework for structuring capital allocation in financial markets. At MorMag, this framework forms part of a disciplined approach to portfolio construction, integrating mathematical rigour with contextual understanding.
Latent Regime Discovery
Latent regime discovery provides a framework for understanding the evolving nature of financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to analysis, integrating quantitative methods with contextual interpretation.
The Live OHLCV Validation Framework
The Live OHLCV Validation Framework provides a structured approach to interpreting real-time market data. At MorMag, this framework reflects a broader principle. Markets are dynamic systems, and the data they produce is part of that dynamism.
The Live OHLCV Theorem
The Live OHLCV Theorem formalises a fundamental distinction in market analysis. Completed OHLCV data represents a fixed record of past activity. Live OHLCV data represents an evolving process whose final state is uncertain until the period closes. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to analysis, in which data is understood not as a static object, but as a dynamic expression of interaction and uncertainty.
Adverse Selection and Bid–Ask Spreads
Adverse selection and bid–ask spreads are central to understanding how financial markets function. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which trading costs are interpreted as reflections of deeper dynamics.
The Myerson–Satterthwaite Theorem
The Myerson–Satterthwaite Theorem demonstrates that, in the presence of private information, no mechanism can achieve all desirable properties of trade simultaneously. At MorMag, this insight contributes to a broader understanding of markets as systems shaped by interaction, uncertainty, and limitation.
Mean Reversion
Mean reversion describes the tendency of prices or returns to move toward a reference level following deviation. At MorMag, mean reversion is understood as a probabilistic phenomenon within a dynamic system. It is applied with attention to context, structure, and uncertainty.
The Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion provides a rigorous framework for determining how much capital to allocate to uncertain opportunities. At MorMag, this framework informs a disciplined approach to capital allocation, integrating quantitative insight with an understanding of real-world constraints.
The Greater Fool Theory
The Greater Fool Theory provides a lens through which to understand periods of speculative pricing in financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which speculative dynamics are recognised, interpreted, and evaluated within the broader context of uncertainty and system behaviour.
Foresight and Prediction Markets
Foresight and prediction markets provide a framework for understanding how markets form expectations about the future. By aggregating information through trading, they transform individual beliefs into collective probabilities. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which prices are interpreted not only as measures of value, but as expressions of belief.
Intertemporal Choice
Intertemporal choice is central to financial markets. It reflects how participants evaluate trade-offs between present and future outcomes, incorporating preferences, uncertainty, and behavioural dynamics. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to decision-making, in which time, uncertainty, and adaptation are considered together.
How to Think About Markets
Markets are complex, adaptive systems shaped by interaction, uncertainty, and change. Operating within them requires a way of thinking that goes beyond prediction and static models. At MorMag, this perspective forms the foundation of decision-making.
What Are Markets?
Markets are not simply mechanisms for trading assets. They are processes in which participants interact, information is transformed, and prices emerge. At MorMag, this perspective provides a foundation for navigating financial markets with clarity and discipline.
Execution as Alpha
Execution is a fundamental component of financial markets. It connects decision-making with realised outcomes, translating theoretical insight into actual performance. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach in which execution is integrated into strategy, analysed as part of the system, and treated as a source of edge.
Order Flow and Alpha
Order flow represents the fundamental process through which prices are formed. It captures the interaction of participants, the expression of information, and the dynamics of liquidity. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to identifying and interpreting sources of alpha.

