Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
Where Alpha Actually Comes From
Alpha does not arise from a single source. It emerges from the structure of real markets: systems characterised by imperfect information, behavioural dynamics, and strategic interaction. At MorMag, alpha is viewed as the product of disciplined thinking applied across these dimensions.
MorMag Mental Models
Markets are complex systems in which outcomes emerge from interaction and adaptation. Owing to this, no single model can fully describe them. By integrating multiple perspectives, MorMag seeks to interpret these systems with clarity and operate within them with discipline.
Thinking About Thinking
Meta-cognition provides a critical layer in financial market analysis. By enabling participants to observe and refine their own thinking, it improves decision-making under uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective complements probabilistic modelling, behavioural awareness, and strategic analysis.
Reading as an Edge in Financial Markets
Reading widely across fiction and non-fiction provides a powerful tool for developing edge in financial markets. At MorMag, wide intellectual exploration complements quantitative and probabilistic frameworks, supporting a more comprehensive, all-encompassing approach to analysis.
Sports and Financial Markets
Sport provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by probability, strategy, behaviour, and performance. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative and probabilistic analysis, offering a broader understanding of how performance is generated in complex systems.
Formula 1 as a Representation of Financial Markets
Formula 1 provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by speed, complexity, and continuous adaptation. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative and probabilistic frameworks, reinforcing a broader approach to navigating markets.
Tennis as a Representation of Financial Markets
Tennis provides a valuable framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by probability, momentum, strategy, and behaviour. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative analysis, offering a broader understanding of how outcomes emerge in complex systems.
Chess as a Representation of Financial Markets
Chess offers a valuable framework for understanding financial markets as systems of structured complexity, sequential decision-making, and strategic interaction. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative modelling and probabilistic analysis, providing a broader framework for navigating complex financial systems.
Black Swans and Fragility
Black Swan events highlight the limits of prediction and the presence of uncertainty beyond measurable risk. At MorMag, this understanding informs the design of investment frameworks that prioritise resilience, asymmetry, and disciplined risk management.
Anti-Fragility in Portfolio Construction
Anti-fragility provides an alternative framework for portfolio construction in uncertain environments. Rather than relying solely on optimisation, it focuses on building systems that can withstand and adapt to variability and extreme events. At MorMag, this perspective supports a more resilient approach to investing.
Uncertainty and Fragility in Financial Markets
Knightian uncertainty and Black Swan theory highlight the limits of probabilistic modelling in financial markets. Understanding these limitations is essential for navigating complex systems.
Black Swan Theory in Financial Markets
Black Swan theory emphasises the presence of rare, high-impact events that lie outside standard expectations. At MorMag, this understanding informs a focus on robustness, disciplined risk management, and the recognition that uncertainty extends beyond what can be modelled.
Knightian Uncertainty in Financial Markets
Knightian uncertainty highlights a fundamental constraint in financial markets: not all uncertainty can be measured. At MorMag, recognising this informs how models are used, how risk is managed, and how decisions are made.
Performance Evaluation at MorMag
Evaluating performance in financial markets is inherently complex, with returns alone provide an incomplete picture. At MorMag, performance evaluation is structured as a multi-dimensional framework that integrates return, risk, and process.
How MorMag Uses Advanced Sampling Methods End-to-End
Advanced sampling methods enable the MorMag Quant Lab to move beyond static modelling and toward a dynamic, probabilistic framework for analysing financial markets.
MorMag Research Manifesto
Financial markets are often approached through prediction. At MorMag, the focus is not on predicting outcomes, but on building frameworks that allow uncertainty to be analysed, interpreted, and acted upon in a consistent way.
Expected Value and Decision-Making
Expected value provides a foundation for decision-making in uncertain environments. At MorMag, expected value is not used as a precise calculation, but as a guiding principle.
MorMag Quant Lab Philosophy
Financial models are built to forecast returns, anticipate volatility, and identify future movements in asset prices. At MorMag, the starting point is different. The objective is not to predict markets with precision, but to build systems capable of interpreting uncertainty in a structured and disciplined way.
The Discipline of Not Knowing
In markets where certainty is unattainable, disciplined process becomes the most reliable foundation for effective decision-making.
Simplicity and Depth in Investment Thinking
Successful investing does not require eliminating complexity, but managing it effectively. By combining simple frameworks with deep analysis, investors can develop processes that remain robust across changing market conditions.

