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Research

MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.

Featured Research

Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quantitative Research & Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Robust Portfolio Optimisation

Robust portfolio optimisation provides a framework for constructing portfolios that account for uncertainty and estimation error. By incorporating variability into the optimisation process, it reduces sensitivity to inputs and enhances stability. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to portfolio construction, emphasising resilience, adaptability, and clarity of thought.

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Quant Lab & Research Infrastructure Thomas Morgan-Magraw Quant Lab & Research Infrastructure Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Live OHLCV Theorem

The Live OHLCV Theorem formalises a fundamental distinction in market analysis. Completed OHLCV data represents a fixed record of past activity. Live OHLCV data represents an evolving process whose final state is uncertain until the period closes. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to analysis, in which data is understood not as a static object, but as a dynamic expression of interaction and uncertainty.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Greater Fool Theory

The Greater Fool Theory provides a lens through which to understand periods of speculative pricing in financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which speculative dynamics are recognised, interpreted, and evaluated within the broader context of uncertainty and system behaviour.

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Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Foresight and Prediction Markets

Foresight and prediction markets provide a framework for understanding how markets form expectations about the future. By aggregating information through trading, they transform individual beliefs into collective probabilities. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which prices are interpreted not only as measures of value, but as expressions of belief.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Intertemporal Choice

Intertemporal choice is central to financial markets. It reflects how participants evaluate trade-offs between present and future outcomes, incorporating preferences, uncertainty, and behavioural dynamics. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to decision-making, in which time, uncertainty, and adaptation are considered together.

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Investment Philosophy Thomas Morgan-Magraw Investment Philosophy Thomas Morgan-Magraw

What Are Markets?

Markets are not simply mechanisms for trading assets. They are processes in which participants interact, information is transformed, and prices emerge. At MorMag, this perspective provides a foundation for navigating financial markets with clarity and discipline.

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Financial Theory & Economic Foundations Thomas Morgan-Magraw Financial Theory & Economic Foundations Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Execution as Alpha

Execution is a fundamental component of financial markets. It connects decision-making with realised outcomes, translating theoretical insight into actual performance. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach in which execution is integrated into strategy, analysed as part of the system, and treated as a source of edge.

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Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Order Flow and Alpha

Order flow represents the fundamental process through which prices are formed. It captures the interaction of participants, the expression of information, and the dynamics of liquidity. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to identifying and interpreting sources of alpha.

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Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Market Microstructure

Market microstructure provides a detailed view of financial markets as systems in which prices emerge from the interaction of orders, liquidity, and information. At MorMag, this understanding informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, integrating micro-level insights with broader frameworks of behaviour, structure, and uncertainty.

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Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw Market Structure & Behaviour Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Liquidity Is Not Guaranteed

Liquidity is a central component of financial markets, but it is not constant. It depends on participation, behaviour, and conditions. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which execution is treated as uncertain and liquidity is incorporated into the broader framework of risk.

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Complexity & Networks & Adaptive Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw Complexity & Networks & Adaptive Systems Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Systemic Risk and Contagion

Systemic risk and contagion reflect the interconnected nature of financial markets. They describe how disturbances propagate, how feedback amplifies outcomes, and how local events can become global disruptions. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to risk management, in which the focus extends beyond individual positions to the system as a whole.

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Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw Risk & Uncertainty & Fragility Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Tail Risk and Fat Tails

Tail risk and fat tails challenge the assumptions of traditional financial models. They highlight the presence of extreme outcomes that occur more frequently and with greater impact than expected. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to analysis in which uncertainty, non-linearity, and structural dynamics are explicitly considered.

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Investment Research - Asset Management - Strategic Capital Allocation