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Research

MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.

Featured Research

Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Narrative Cognition and the Psychology of Groupthink

Narrative cognition describes the human tendency to organise complex information into coherent stories, while groupthink can cause shared narratives to become increasingly resistant to challenge or contradictory evidence. At MorMag, we view markets as complex adaptive systems in which collective beliefs can spread through social networks, reinforce one another, and influence investment behaviour even when the underlying narrative is only weakly supported by evidence.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Pavlov and His Dog

Pavlov’s experiments demonstrated how repeated associations can transform previously neutral stimuli into powerful behavioural signals, providing a foundational insight into the mechanisms through which behaviour is learned and reinforced. At MorMag, we view markets as complex adaptive systems in which investors can similarly develop conditioned responses to prices, information, incentives, and recurring patterns of market behaviour.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Why Humans Need Explanations for Randomness

Humans possess a powerful tendency to search for patterns, causes, and narratives, often constructing explanations for events that may be substantially influenced by chance and randomness. At MorMag, we view this impulse as a fundamental feature of decision-making in complex environments, shaping how investors interpret information, assign causality, and respond to uncertainty.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

How Machiavellian Was Machiavelli?

Machiavelli is often remembered as the archetype of political cunning, associated with manipulation, deception, and the ruthless pursuit of power, yet his writings offer a considerably more nuanced account of human behaviour and political strategy. At MorMag, we examine Machiavelli not simply as an advocate of manipulation, but as a theorist of incentives, uncertainty, power, and the strategic behaviour of individuals within complex social systems.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Behavioral Economics and Adam Smith

Behavioral economics is often presented as a revolutionary challenge to classical economic thought, by demonstrating that human decision-making frequently departs from the assumptions of perfect rationality. At MorMag, we view markets as complex adaptive systems populated by human beings rather than abstract rational agents.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Decision Making Under Stress

Decision-making under stress represents one of the most important challenges in investing. Stress alters attention, influences emotion, narrows perspective, distorts risk perception, and consumes cognitive resources; these effects can significantly impair judgment precisely when good decisions matter most. At MorMag, this perspective forms an important component of behavioural finance and investment philosophy.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Six Levels of Order Thinking

The six levels of order thinking provide a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as layered adaptive systems shaped by interaction, incentives, behaviour, and uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader investment philosophy grounded in systems thinking, behavioural finance, probabilistic reasoning, and adaptive intelligence.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Latticework of Mental Models

The latticework of mental models provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as complex adaptive systems shaped by overlapping psychological, structural, probabilistic, and behavioural forces. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader investment philosophy grounded in interdisciplinary thinking, probabilistic reasoning, behavioural analysis, and systems-level interpretation.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Behavioral Economics and the Psychology of Incentives

Behavioral economics and the psychology of incentives provide one of the most important frameworks for understanding financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader approach to quantitative and behavioural finance grounded in systems thinking, probabilistic reasoning, and structural awareness.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Psychology of Incentives

The psychology of incentives provides one of the most important frameworks for understanding financial markets. By shaping behaviour, perception, risk-taking, and decision-making, incentives influence nearly every aspect of market dynamics. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader approach to analysing markets as adaptive systems shaped by interaction, reflexivity, and behavioural complexity.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Lollapalooza Effect

The Lollapalooza Effect provides a powerful framework for understanding extreme market behaviour. Its significance lies in recognising that market outcomes are rarely driven by single causes. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader approach to understanding markets as adaptive, reflexive, and probabilistic systems shaped by feedback and behavioural complexity.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Shannon Entropy

Shannon entropy provides a profound framework for understanding uncertainty, information, and structural complexity within financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a broader approach to quantitative finance grounded in probabilistic reasoning, adaptive systems thinking, and structural awareness.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

The Greater Fool Theory

The Greater Fool Theory provides a lens through which to understand periods of speculative pricing in financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to market analysis, in which speculative dynamics are recognised, interpreted, and evaluated within the broader context of uncertainty and system behaviour.

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Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw Behavioural Finance & Psychology Thomas Morgan-Magraw

Intertemporal Choice

Intertemporal choice is central to financial markets. It reflects how participants evaluate trade-offs between present and future outcomes, incorporating preferences, uncertainty, and behavioural dynamics. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to decision-making, in which time, uncertainty, and adaptation are considered together.

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Investment Research - Asset Management - Strategic Capital Allocation