Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
State-Space Models and Hidden Financial Systems
State-space models provide a framework for understanding financial systems in which the variables that drive observed market behaviour cannot be directly observed, but must instead be inferred from imperfect and noisy data. At MorMag, we view markets as complex adaptive systems whose underlying regimes, conditions, and structural dynamics are often hidden beneath observable prices and returns, making inference as important as measurement.
Gamma and Additive Processes
Gamma and additive processes provide powerful mathematical frameworks for modelling the accumulation of random change, particularly where uncertainty evolves through positive increments, jumps, and variable rates over time. At MorMag, we use stochastic processes as a way of understanding markets as dynamic systems in which uncertainty accumulates, compounds, and occasionally changes abruptly.
Wiener and Poisson Processes
Wiener and Poisson processes form two of the most important building blocks of modern stochastic modelling, providing mathematical frameworks for understanding continuous uncertainty and discrete events. At MorMag, we view both as essential tools for understanding how uncertainty, information, and market dynamics unfold through time.
Lévy Processes and the Limits of Gaussian Markets
Lévy processes represent one of the most important advances in modern financial modelling because they acknowledge that price movements are not always smooth and risk is not always normally distributed. At MorMag, markets are viewed not as smooth equilibrium machines but as evolving adaptive systems operating under persistent uncertainty.
Stochastic Calculus Without Fear
Stochastic calculus often appears intimidating because it is introduced through advanced mathematics, yet its central idea is remarkably straightforward. At MorMag, stochastic calculus is viewed not as an exercise in mathematical complexity but as a powerful way of understanding uncertainty itself.
Why Most Backtests Fail
Most backtests fail because they mistake historical fit for future predictive power. At MorMag, backtesting is viewed as a process of hypothesis testing, stress testing, and intellectual scepticism. Historical analysis remains valuable, but only when combined with economic reasoning, robustness testing, and an understanding of market structure.
The Mathematics of Alpha Generation
The mathematics of alpha generation is fundamentally the mathematics of information, probability, and uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective forms a central component of quantitative research and investment philosophy.
Information Theory for Investors
Information Theory provides one of the most powerful frameworks available for understanding financial markets because it addresses the fundamental currency of investing: information. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader investment philosophy grounded in probabilistic reasoning, complexity science, adaptive markets, and rigorous research.
Optimal Stopping Theory and Investment Decisions
Optimal Stopping Theory provides one of the most elegant frameworks available for understanding investment timing and decision-making under uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader investment philosophy grounded in probabilistic reasoning, adaptive thinking, behavioural awareness, and expected value maximisation.
Why Most Quant Research Fails
Most quant research fails because financial markets are far more complex than they initially appear. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader quantitative philosophy grounded in probabilistic reasoning, adaptive systems thinking, behavioural finance, and structural market analysis.
The Mathematics of Alpha Decay
The mathematics of alpha decay provides a powerful framework for understanding why investment edges weaken through time. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader quantitative philosophy grounded in adaptive systems thinking, evolutionary finance, probabilistic reasoning, and structural market analysis.
Entropy as a Financial Signal
Entropy as a financial signal provides a powerful framework for measuring uncertainty, informational complexity, and structural organisation within financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader quantitative philosophy grounded in complexity science, adaptive systems thinking, probabilistic reasoning, and structural market analysis.
Random Matrix Theory in Financial Markets
Random Matrix Theory provides one of the most powerful tools available for distinguishing genuine information from statistical noise within financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader quantitative philosophy grounded in probabilistic reasoning, adaptive systems thinking, and rigorous signal validation.
CVaR Portfolio Optimisation
CVaR portfolio optimisation provides a powerful framework for analysing and managing tail risk within complex financial systems. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader approach to portfolio construction grounded in probabilistic reasoning, adaptive systems thinking, and resilience-focused risk management.
Cross-Sectional Mean Reversion Engines
Cross-sectional mean reversion engines provide a sophisticated framework for identifying relative dislocations within evolving financial systems. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader adaptive quantitative framework grounded in probabilistic reasoning, behavioural analysis, and systems-level interpretation.
Order Flow Toxicity Models
Order flow toxicity models provide a powerful framework for understanding the interaction between information asymmetry, liquidity provision, and market fragility. At MorMag, this perspective forms part of a broader approach to quantitative finance grounded in adaptive systems thinking, market microstructure analysis, and probabilistic interpretation.
Kalman Filter Pairs Trading
Kalman filter pairs trading provides a powerful framework for adaptive statistical arbitrage within evolving financial systems. At MorMag, this perspective informs a broader quantitative framework focused on dynamic inference, regime awareness, and structural adaptability.
Hidden Markov Model Regime Detection
Hidden Markov Model regime detection provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as evolving systems operating across hidden states. At MorMag, Hidden Markov Models contribute to a broader adaptive intelligence framework designed to navigate these evolving structures with probabilistic reasoning and structural awareness.
Space Colonisation Algorithms in Quantitative Finance
Space colonisation algorithms provide a powerful conceptual framework for understanding adaptive exploration and resource allocation in complex environments. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach to strategy development and capital allocation, integrating quantitative tools with an understanding of growth and adaptation.
Why Black–Scholes Fails
The Black–Scholes model represents a milestone in financial theory, providing a structured approach to option pricing. At MorMag, this understanding informs a disciplined approach to derivatives analysis, integrating theoretical insight with practical awareness.

