Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
The Alpha Lifecycle
Alpha is not static. It emerges, grows, becomes crowded, and ultimately decays. At MorMag, this perspective informs a disciplined approach in which alpha is not assumed to persist, but is continuously evaluated within the context of an evolving system.
Why Most Alpha Disappears
Most alpha disappears because markets are competitive, adaptive systems. Strategies evolve, conditions change, and the environment adapts. At MorMag, this reality informs a disciplined approach in which alpha is viewed as transient and dynamic.
The Geometry of Suffocation: A Theoretical Study of the Smothered Mate
The smothered mate reveals how apparent safety can mask structural vulnerability. A king, enclosed by its own pieces, is deprived of mobility and ultimately defeated by a single knight. Control collapses not through force, but through constraint and inevitability.
Where Alpha Actually Comes From
Alpha does not arise from a single source. It emerges from the structure of real markets: systems characterised by imperfect information, behavioural dynamics, and strategic interaction. At MorMag, alpha is viewed as the product of disciplined thinking applied across these dimensions.
Market Efficiency vs Reality
The concept of market efficiency provides a valuable theoretical framework for understanding how information should be reflected in prices. At MorMag, this gap between theory and reality is central to analysis. By integrating structured models with an awareness of asymmetry and feedback, a more complete understanding of market dynamics can be achieved.
Perfect Information in Financial Markets
Perfect information represents a theoretical ideal in which all participants possess complete and identical knowledge, yet real financial markets differ fundamentally from this ideal. At MorMag, recognising the absence of perfect information informs a framework that emphasises interpretation, probabilistic reasoning, and disciplined analysis.
Fraction of Variance Unexplained
The Fraction of Variance Unexplained provides a valuable perspective on the limits of quantitative models. At MorMag, this perspective supports a disciplined approach to modelling in which the goal is not to eliminate unexplained variance, but to understand it.
Information Asymmetry in Financial Markets
Information asymmetry is a fundamental characteristic of financial markets. At MorMag, this perspective complements probabilistic modelling and strategic analysis, supporting a framework that recognises both the structure of information and the complexity of its interpretation.
MorMag Mental Models
Markets are complex systems in which outcomes emerge from interaction and adaptation. Owing to this, no single model can fully describe them. By integrating multiple perspectives, MorMag seeks to interpret these systems with clarity and operate within them with discipline.
Thinking About Thinking
Meta-cognition provides a critical layer in financial market analysis. By enabling participants to observe and refine their own thinking, it improves decision-making under uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective complements probabilistic modelling, behavioural awareness, and strategic analysis.
Reading as an Edge in Financial Markets
Reading widely across fiction and non-fiction provides a powerful tool for developing edge in financial markets. At MorMag, wide intellectual exploration complements quantitative and probabilistic frameworks, supporting a more comprehensive, all-encompassing approach to analysis.
Financial Markets as Complex Adaptive Systems
Financial markets are best understood as complex adaptive systems in which outcomes emerge from the interaction of diverse participants operating under uncertainty. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative and probabilistic approaches, supporting a structured yet flexible framework for navigating uncertainty.
Evolutionary Economic Geography and Financial Markets
Evolutionary economic geography offers a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as evolving systems shaped by history, interaction, and adaptation. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative analysis and probabilistic modelling, supporting a more comprehensive approach to navigating complex financial systems.
Sports and Financial Markets
Sport provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by probability, strategy, behaviour, and performance. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative and probabilistic analysis, offering a broader understanding of how performance is generated in complex systems.
Formula 1 as a Representation of Financial Markets
Formula 1 provides a powerful framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by speed, complexity, and continuous adaptation. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative and probabilistic frameworks, reinforcing a broader approach to navigating markets.
Tennis as a Representation of Financial Markets
Tennis provides a valuable framework for understanding financial markets as systems defined by probability, momentum, strategy, and behaviour. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative analysis, offering a broader understanding of how outcomes emerge in complex systems.
Market Dynamics
Financial markets are complex systems shaped by the interaction of perception, strategy, and behaviour. At MorMag, this understanding complements quantitative analysis, supporting a more complete approach to navigating uncertainty.
Reflexivity in Financial Markets
Reflexivity offers a powerful perspective on financial markets as systems in which perception and reality interact through feedback loops. At MorMag, this understanding complements probabilistic modelling and quantitative analysis, providing a more complete framework for interpreting complex market behaviour.
Game Theory and Financial Markets
Game theory offers a powerful lens through which financial markets can be understood as systems of strategic interaction. At MorMag, this perspective informs a broader framework in which markets are viewed as complex systems shaped by both statistical structure and strategic interaction.
Chess as a Representation of Financial Markets
Chess offers a valuable framework for understanding financial markets as systems of structured complexity, sequential decision-making, and strategic interaction. At MorMag, this perspective complements quantitative modelling and probabilistic analysis, providing a broader framework for navigating complex financial systems.

