Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
The MorMag Quant Stack
Modern financial markets generate vast quantities of data, but raw information alone does not produce insight. The MorMag Quant Stack represents an integrated approach to analysing financial markets and providing insight within a marketplace.
Probabilistic Modelling in the MorMag Quant Lab
The MorMag Quant Lab is designed to transform market data into structured insight through systematic analysis. The integration of Bayesian inference, MCMC, and regime models within the MorMag Quant Lab represents a move toward more adaptive and probabilistic research methods.
Bayesian Inference, MCMC, and Regime Models
Financial markets are complex systems characterised by uncertainty, non-linearity, and changing behaviour over time. The combination of Bayesian inference, MCMC, and regime modelling provides a powerful framework for analysing financial markets.
Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Financial Modelling
Financial markets are governed by uncertainty. Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful framework for analysing complex probabilistic systems and the underlying uncertainty within markets
Hidden Markov Models vs Traditional Models
Hidden Markov Models provide a framework for modelling financial markets as systems that transition between unobserved states. They offer a more flexible alternative to traditional models based on fixed assumptions.
Regime Detection in the MorMag Quant Lab
Markov regime models provide a framework for understanding markets as systems that evolve across distinct states. They serve not as predictive engines, but as contextual tools that enhance the interpretation of signals and the management of risk.
Markov Regime Models in Financial Markets
Markov regime models provide a structured way to understand financial markets as systems that transition between different states. They offer a more flexible framework for modelling complex market behaviour.
Why Quantitative Models Struggle in Real Markets
The challenges faced by quantitative models in financial markets are not merely technical. In real markets, success depends less on predicting outcomes with precision, and more on building processes capable of adapting to complexity.
The Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu Theorem
The Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu theorem challenges the assumption that rational individual behaviour leads to stable and predictable market outcomes.
The Grossman–Stiglitz Paradox
The Grossman–Stiglitz paradox highlights a fundamental truth about financial markets: perfect efficiency is impossible.
Monte Carlo Simulation in Financial Markets
Monte Carlo simulation offers a powerful method for modelling uncertainty in financial markets. By generating a distribution of possible outcomes, it allows investors to evaluate risk and opportunity in a more comprehensive way.
Bayesian Thinking in Financial Markets
Financial markets require continuous interpretation of new information under uncertainty. Bayesian statistics provides a framework for adapting to this reality by allowing probabilities to evolve as data changes.
The MorMag Quant Lab
The MorMag Quant Lab represents an ongoing effort to build research infrastructure capable of navigating complex financial markets.
The MorMag Market Scanner
The MorMag Market Scanner is positioned as the starting point in a broader analytical framework, extending beyond signal detection to function as a system for mapping opportunity across financial markets.
Inside the MorMag Quant Lab (II)
The initial development of the MorMag Quant Lab focused on building a structured research environment capable of analysing financial markets systematically.
The Discipline of Not Knowing
In markets where certainty is unattainable, disciplined process becomes the most reliable foundation for effective decision-making.
Time, Liquidity, and Market Reality
Financial markets are multi-layered systems shaped by interactions across different time horizons.
The Limits of Prediction
Financial markets are adaptive, reflexive systems in which precise prediction is inherently constrained. Quantitative models remain valuable as tools for structuring uncertainty and informing probabilistic decision-making.
Simplicity and Depth in Investment Thinking
Successful investing does not require eliminating complexity, but managing it effectively. By combining simple frameworks with deep analysis, investors can develop processes that remain robust across changing market conditions.
Correlation and Contagion in Financial Markets
Financial markets are interconnected systems in which developments in one area can influence behaviour across others. One of the key mechanisms through which this occurs is correlation.

