Research
MorMag believes rigorous research is the foundation of effective capital allocation. Our analysis combines macroeconomic insight, company-level fundamentals, and long-term structural thinking to identify opportunities across global markets.
Featured Research
Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm
MALA provides a practical middle ground between simplicity and efficiency in probabilistic sampling. This improves sampling efficiency compared to purely random proposals.
Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
Standard MCMC methods can struggle in high-dimensional spaces. HMC provides a more efficient alternative to traditional MCMC, particularly in complex modelling environments.
Pseudo-Marginal Metropolis–Hastings
In some models, the likelihood function cannot be evaluated directly. Pseudo-marginal methods extend the reach of probabilistic modelling, allowing inference in complex environments where exact solutions are unavailable.
The Metropolis–Hastings Algorithm
Many probabilistic models require sampling from distributions that cannot be evaluated directly. The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm provides a method for generating such samples through a structured acceptance process.
The Gelman–Rubin Statistic
Convergence diagnostics are essential in simulation-based modelling. The Gelman–Rubin statistic provides a structured method for assessing whether probabilistic estimates are reliable, reinforcing disciplined use of MCMC methods.
Bayesian Inference, MCMC, and Regime Models
Financial markets are complex systems characterised by uncertainty, non-linearity, and changing behaviour over time. The combination of Bayesian inference, MCMC, and regime modelling provides a powerful framework for analysing financial markets.
Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Financial Modelling
Financial markets are governed by uncertainty. Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful framework for analysing complex probabilistic systems and the underlying uncertainty within markets
Hidden Markov Models vs Traditional Models
Hidden Markov Models provide a framework for modelling financial markets as systems that transition between unobserved states. They offer a more flexible alternative to traditional models based on fixed assumptions.
Monte Carlo Simulation in Financial Markets
Monte Carlo simulation offers a powerful method for modelling uncertainty in financial markets. By generating a distribution of possible outcomes, it allows investors to evaluate risk and opportunity in a more comprehensive way.
Factor Models and Market Behaviour
Factor models offer a systematic approach to understanding the drivers of market returns. By analysing recurring patterns across securities, quantitative research can provide insight into how different characteristics influence performance.
Model Robustness in Financial Machine Learning
Robust financial models must withstand changing market conditions, data limitations, and structural shifts, ensuring signals remain reliable across varying economic environments.

